Happy Friday everyone. March is one of the best sports months of the year and this weekend will show why. Sure, we are missing football, but we have Conference tourneys, World Baseball Classic Quarterfinals and Semifinals, The PLAYERS Championship, and full slates of NBA and NHL. And of course, spring training, if you are into that sort of thing.
While we give out one of our conference championship plays for free tonight in the newsletter, our additional CBB plays, all NBA plays/props, full PGA card, NHL plays, and WBC picks are all worth an upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks this fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.
We have a live longshot in Sepp Straka (54-1) in the lead at the Players, which should help calm us down from the Collin Morikawa one hole and go home nonsense. At least we got a bonus bet from DK on it. Hopefully you did too.
Also make sure you listen to the weekly Betting with Bearman podcast. This week we had VSiN’s Tim Murray on to preview Conference Championship Week.
We are excited about our affiliate deal with our new friends at Betr. Through our partnership, you can sign up now and get $10 free and then a 50% deposit match up to $200 by using the Betting with Bearman sign up link, right here.
Also, you know that I only recommend tools I actually use, and PoolGenius is what I’ll be using this year when I build out my March Madness brackets and play in a few NCAA Survivor pools.
They’re offering discounts for the Betting with Bearman family if you want to check it out.
One thing a lot of people miss with bracket pools is that winning isn’t really about predicting every game correctly — it’s about understanding what everyone else in your pool is picking and finding the right spots to differentiate. PoolGenius shows public pick rates alongside win probabilities and then generates optimized brackets based on your pool settings, which makes the process a lot more strategic.
They also have an NCAA Survivor tool, which is pretty unique. If you’ve played NFL Survivor, think of NCAA Survivor as packing an entire NFL Survivor season into about three weeks — with even more strategy because of how the tournament works. Their tool grades every possible pick based on win odds, popularity, and how saving teams for later rounds impacts your chances to survive the pool.
If you want to get a feel for the strategy side of survivor pools, their NCAA Survivor Strategy Guide is a good place to start:
They also have an article covering where to play NCAA Survivor Pools if you’re looking for one.
I’ll be using it when I put my brackets together next week, and if you’re looking for an edge in your bracket or survivor pool this year, it’s definitely worth checking out.
Conference Championship Week
Clemson vs. Duke (-10.5, 132.5), ACC Semifinals
Fading Duke is never easy and sometimes downright scary, but as we saw on Thursday, they are banged up and have their eyes on the bigger prize.
Not saying they won’t win, but they did not look like the same Duke team we saw all season against Florida State last night and were lucky to get out with a W.
Courtesy of our friends at Bettor Day, since 2021, teams that win by 3 or less as a favorite of 15+… are 7-20-1 ATS (25%) when favored by 10 the next game. That is what we have tonight with Clemson getting 10.5.
Duke won the first meeting at home by 13 in a game that was a 5-pt game at the half. And they were healthy in that one.
The Blue Devils are missing PG Caleb Foster and big man Patrick Ngongba II for the ACC Tournament and are going to be a one seed on Sunday no matter what.
Could Duke win by 20? Sure. But we are playing the value here, which is on the points for the healthier teams playing for a lot more.
Clemson +10.5
Don’t go anywhere! Stick around for more CBB, NBA, NHL, WBC, and full golf card.
Want more? Subscribe now!
Become a better bettor by Betting with Bearman -- be one of the first 250 to join our Founder's Tier and lock in incredible savings, FOR LIFE.
UpgradeSubscribe today and get:
- 3 Weekly Newsletters
- Trending stories with picks
- Plays of the Day
- Same-Game Parlays of the Day
- First Access to Exclusive Community
- A lifetime of better betting