Happy Friday everyone. March is one of the best sports months of the year and this weekend will show why. Sure, we are missing football, but we have mid-major conference tourneys, big conference final games, World Baseball Classic, PGA Golf at Arnie’s place, a numbered UFC card, and full slates of NBA and NHL. And of course, spring training, if you are into that sort of thing.

While we give out one of our plays for free tonight in the newsletter, our additional NBA plays/props, full Arnold Palmer Invitational card, College Basketball and NHL plays, and WBC picks are all worth an upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks this fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.

Also make sure you listen to the weekly Betting with Bearman podcast. This week we had FanDuel’s Minty Bets on to preview the UFC 326 card. More on that below.

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Arch Madness - Trend to Watch

Have you heard about the ridiculousness of what’s going on at the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney over the last few years?

  • Unders are now 128-68 (65%) in MVC Tournament games since 2005 (per Bet_Labs), including a perfect 3-0 yesterday in first round play (per the closing line).

  • The trend is 20-5 in the last 25, including 13 in a row.

We are going to take all four games today and ride the trend, but buyer beware.. we are the not the only ones who are doing this and the lines have moved, so make sure you get the right value and get in before the lines move more.

Friday MVC line movement @BetMGM

  • Drake-Belmont 158.5 to 151.5

  • Murray St-UIC 148.5 to 147.5

  • Bradley-Valpo 135.5 to 134.5

  • Illinois State-UNI 125.5 to 124.5

Full transparency, I am playing them all in a round robin. For those new to that, it’s all the possible combos of 2-leg parlays. So 6 different 2-leggers. That’s not for everyone, but wanted to tell you what I was doing.

Stick around for NBA, NHL, WBC, and full golf card.

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