NBA First Half Winds Down; Pebble Beach Hosts Signature Event

Happy Wednesday betting friends. We shift our focus towards Golf, NBA, CBB, and NHL, with plenty of games to bet on and plenty of trends to explore. We are also going to continue to have NFL and CFB futures content in upcoming newsletters.

While we give our main NBA play out for free tonight in the newsletter, our full AT&T Pebble Peach Pro Am card, additional NBA plays and NHL plays are all worth an upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks this fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.

Make sure you listen to the Betting with Bearman podcast this week as we had Golf Handicapper Chris Euksuzian on to break down the Pebble Beach event this week.

We have 14 NBA games, as well as a Golf tournament starting tomorrow. I am also going to help you in your golf pools with One and Done picks AND access to some awesome golf tools that you can use to help with your pool. Head over to PoolGenius and get Discounts courtesy of Betting with Bearman.

We are excited to announce an affiliate deal with our new friends at Betr. Through our partnership, you can sign up now and get $10 free and then a 50% deposit match up to $200 by using the Betting with Bearman sign up link, right here. We are also going to be sending out Betr plays in coming days in the newsletter, so check back for those. We start today with a golf one, which we are giving out free below.

Today, we are going to give a free one out to start, so here is the Betr play today. We are rolling with two players for Thursday’s First Round. This is for Round 1. Make sure to check me out on Twitter/X for more daily Betr plays.

Let’s get to the rest!

An almost full slate of NBA games to choose from tonight as we only have two nights left before the All-Star break. Let’s start with a great Western Conference matchup

I'm not getting cute here.

The Pistons are on the short list of best teams in the East and, well, I don't think the Raptors are. Neither team played last night and both teams are approaching the All Star Break, so I don't think there are any moving pieces on that front.

Injuries? Not really.

Suspensions? Not yet clear for the Pistons and maybe that is why the line sits where it does right now, but considering we haven't yet heard on the status of Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart stemming from the brawl with Charlotte, might we just be looking at a post-ASB situation?

I'll jump on the road team now and ask questions later.

Even if the big men are absent for this game, the Raptors aren't a high volume or high success rate from inside of 10 feet, so I'm not sure my handicapping would change in a major way.

As for the game as it stands right now, we have Vegas labeling it as a coin toss and Canada's finest hasn't been good in those spots recently (1-4 ATS in their last five with a spread under three points in either direction). Detroit is the second best road team in the league this season (17-7) and a large part of that is the relentless aggression of Cade Cunningham (DET: fifth highest opponent foul rate).

The Raptors allow opponents to make over 60% of their shots inside of 10 feet and with a pair of specialists serving as hired guns on the perimeter (Duncan Robinson and now Kevin Huerter), this is a Pistons offense that figures to stretch the home team awfully thin. 

Credit to Toronto for winning three of their last four, but aren't they kind of settling into who they are? Over their last six games, they are 3-3 with wins over Utah, Chicago, and Indiana. The losses have come to New York (by 27), Orlando (by 10), and Minnesota.

This might be one of those "bet whoever the favorite" teams for the "second half" of the season. They are in good position to be a playoff team, but the Raps profile as a team that is going to go to script more often than not in terms of outright wins/losses.

You'll get a chance to back the Dinosaurs coming out of the break if you're operating under that logic (Chicago and Milwaukee), but things get tough in a hurry as March nears.

I was on the Pistons -1.5 when this line opened last night and it hasn't budged. I'll obviously be less happy with my position if Duren/Stewart sit, but I still think Cunningham has success in this spot and that gives this team a good chance regardless of who is active (the athleticism of Ausar Thompson should prove huge against this attacking Raptors bunch).

Pistons -1.5

Stick around for our full more NBA, the full Pebble Beach PGA Tour card, and more!