Happy Wednesday, or as my kids call it “Hump day”. Finally, the NBA postseason has gotten interesting with a couple of upsets since we last met on Monday. Will that continue tonight with both one seeds in action? We have trends down below that doubt more upsets tonight.
We have you covered on both NBA games tonight, as well as our full golf card, NHL play of the night, MLB and NBA trends from our friends at TrendsCenter and a few MLB props to play.
And, we have top 3 NFL Draft plays for Thursday’s NFL draft, courtesy of one of my PrizePick colleagues Austin Swaim.
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Also make sure you listen to the weekly Betting with Bearman podcast. Former NFL player Seth Payne, current host of Payne and Pendergast, along with Austin Swaim, formerly of FanDuel Research, join me this afternoon to talk all things NFL Draft.
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TrendsCenter Trend of the Day
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We are going to with an NBA one today that is in a rare spot, but it works to tune of 11 straight.
Taking a -370 favorite doesn’t take a doctorate degree, so we aren’t giving out something you didn’t already like, but we did want to throw a couple of stats your way to support the Pistons tonight if you want to parlay it with something else as we aren’t going to give out a -350 pick as play.
Game 2 heavy favorites of greater than -350 in first round
Coming off a Game 1 loss at home as a favorite
Have won Game 2 in 11 straight instances.
This applies to the Pistons tonight
Adding to this, only twice in NBA history has an 8 seed gone up 2-0 on a 1 seed. Again, I am never going to say “Hey, take this -370 favorite” and you’ll NEVER see me use the L word, but if you are looking for one leg in an SGP or multi-sport parlay, the facts are above.
Wait? NBA Playoff Upsets??
Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder (-17.5, 215.5)
With such a high line, the side is very hard to play. You want to play the dog with the points, but won’t be the least bit shocked if OKC wins by 35 again. So we go to the prop market.
Jalen Williams over 23.5 points + assists
Williams is averaging 19.8 points and 6.2 assists in five games vs. the Suns this season (26.0 total). This includes a 22/6 in Game 1 in only 29 minutes due to the blowout.
When playing 30+ minutes, he is 11-3 to this prop, which is only 1 more minute that he played in Game 1’s blowout.
He’s hit the over on his P/A prop in 18/33 games this season, including 7 of the last 9 games.
He also went over this line in 18 of 24 postseason games during OKC’s run last year.
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