Well, that was a good start to the tourney! We went XX in our main plays from Wednesday newsletter (free and premium) + what was given out on Twitter/X. And in the “other games” that we listed that we liked, we went 2-1. Plus, we used the main plays in an alt line parlay with the DraftKings 64% boost for +500 winner and capped the night off in style with a 14-1 underdog moneyline parlay.
While we give out one of our college basketball plays for free tonight in the newsletter, our complete NCAA Tournament analysis, NBA props/sides, Valspar golf card and NHL plays are all worth an upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks this fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.
Also make sure you listen to the weekly Betting with Bearman podcast. This week, we had PFSN’s Kyle Soppe on to break down the four NCAA Tournament regions, give out futures and first round plays. He’s actually coming over today to watch some games.
You know that I only recommend tools I actually use, and PoolGenius is what I’ll be using this year when I build out my March Madness brackets and play in a few NCAA Survivor pools.
They’re offering discounts for the Betting with Bearman family if you want to check it out.
One thing a lot of people miss with bracket pools is that winning isn’t really about predicting every game correctly — it’s about understanding what everyone else in your pool is picking and finding the right spots to differentiate. PoolGenius shows public pick rates alongside win probabilities and then generates optimized brackets based on your pool settings, which makes the process a lot more strategic.
They also have an NCAA Survivor tool, which is pretty unique. If you’ve played NFL Survivor, think of NCAA Survivor as packing an entire NFL Survivor season into about three weeks — with even more strategy because of how the tournament works. Their tool grades every possible pick based on win odds, popularity, and how saving teams for later rounds impacts your chances to survive the pool.
If you want to get a feel for the strategy side of survivor pools, their NCAA Survivor Strategy Guide is a good place to start:
They also have an article covering where to play NCAA Survivor Pools if you’re looking for one.
I’ll be using it when I put my brackets together next week, and if you’re looking for an edge in your bracket or survivor pool this year, it’s definitely worth checking out.
We are excited about our affiliate deal with our new friends at Betr. Through our partnership, you can sign up now and get $10 free and then a 50% deposit match up to $200 by using the Betting with Bearman sign up link, right here.
Click here to jump down to our Blitzanalytics.co prop of the night. We hit both our plays Monday, hit Wednesday, but lost yesterday with no one playing the 4th quarter in the blowout.
March Madness Continues
Hopefully you took the two free plays we gave in Wednesday’s newsletter and then continued beyond the paywall for the rest of the winners. It’s only $9.99/month or $99 for year.
We are going to try and repeat success today. And remember to check Twitter/X for live plays and more.
11 Miami (OH) vs 6 Tennessee (-11.5, 149.5)
If you didn’t get enough of the 11 seeds winning twice yesterday, one more may be in store tomorrow. Well, at least they will keep it close.
Tennessee should win, but people need to stop doubting Miami. No, they aren’t going to the Final Four, but as I said on Wednesday, 31-1 is 31-1. They know how to play together and they know how to win. They proved that in the almost wire-to-wire win over SMU.
The RedHawks are 5-0 as an underdog this season and continue to have a massive chip on their shoulder. And they play like it. Not sure they toss up 41 3s again, or make 16, but what they do for 40 minutes is make you earn it.
Tennessee is 11-16-1 ATS as a favorite this year and 7-7 ATS as a favorite of 10+
Tennessee coach Rick Barnes is 24-36 ATS in the NCAA Tournament, the 5th-worst record of any of the 68 coaches. Tennessee is 5-10 ATS as a favorite in the NCAA Tournament under Rick Barnes with 5 outright losses.
Barnes teams have been seeded 5th or worse 16 times. They have made it out of the first weekend once - 2002 as a 6-seed with Texas. They have lost in the first round 12 times.
Miami (OH) +11.5
Stick around for the rest of MUCH more NCAA Tournament content and betting data, our top NBA and NHL plays, Valpsar PGA picks and more!
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