Happy Black Friday everyone! We didn’t have a newsletter on Wednesday due to travel, but we did give a few picks our to our premium subscribers. We have a Black Friday side and prop today for free and the rest of the Week 13 card, NBA and NHL picks behind the pay wall.
Make sure you listen to the Betting with Bearman podcast this week as we have the NFL covered from head to toe with Pro Football and Sports Network’s Kyle Soppe.
Also, upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks in the fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.
NFL Season | ATS | Through 11/27 | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
Favorites | 92-88-1 | Over | 91-88-2 |
Underdogs | 88-92-1 | Under | 88-91-2 |
Home Fav | 59-48-1 | Home Dogs | 37-36 |
Road Dogs | 48-59-1 | Road Fav | 36-37 |
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NFL Week 13 Action
NFL Main Side/Total Plays (including primetime games): 21-27-1
- Sides: 9-15-1
- Totals: 12-12
Main Props (including primetime games): 71-39 (64.5%)
Total: 92-65-1 (58.5%)
We went 3-3 yesterday in picks given to premium members:
Bengals +7💰
Lamar o268.5 rush+pass 💰
Cowboys -3 ❌
Ferguson o4.5 💰
Lions -2.5 ❌
Gibbs o4.5 ❌
Black Friday NFL
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 44.5)
No, I am not all-in on the Bears just yet. However, if anyone has watched this Eagles offense this season, you are running to the book to grab the 7.
The Eagles offense is 24th overall, 21st in rushing, 23rd in passing and 17th in scoring.
Meanwhile, Chicago’s offense is 6th overall, 2nd in rushing, 12th in passing and 9th in scoring.
It’s just too many points here for an Eagles team that has seven one-score wins (of 8 wins) against a Bears team that is red-hot. Could this be a massive Bears “letdown, you aren’t as good as your record is” type game? Yes, but I am not sure the Eagles are as good as their 8-3 record is and the other team is getting a TD.
Eagles have won by more than 7 one time this season (vs Giants).
Chicago +7
But we also like to head to the prop market, where we’ve had much more success lately. It being a Holiday and since I missed Wednesday’s newsletter, we will give the prop as a bonus free pick before the rest of the slate is in the premium section.
Saquon Barkley over 78.5 rushing yards (FanDuel)
You don’t have to go far back in my newsletters to see this is the opposite of what I have done with Barkley this season. I have faded him and won fading him numerous times this season as he’s gotten over 80 rush yards three times all season and is 3-8 to his prop over.
So why the flip? Well, the Bears are missing all of their starting LBs today and allowed 186 rushing yards to the Steelers last week in the same situation.
Overall, the Bears are 28th in the NFL, allowing 138.1 rush yards per game, but allowed 160+ rushing yards in three of last five games.
Even though I like the Bears to cover the 7 in a close game, I also expect Philly to do what they can on the ground to try and restart this offense.
This is as low of a total as you are going to see for Barkley, who had 22 yards on 10 carries last week. You might see a mob in Philly if he only gets 10 rushes this week.
Stick around for more, our Black Friday SGP and entire Week 13 Weekend card in the premium section below.
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