Not Snowed in? Let's Bet Some NBA! NHL Futures Look

Happy Monday Betting family! A third straight good golf weekend and a sweep of our NBA props on Friday night let us to a good weekend.

Small betting slate tonight, but as long as you aren’t here in the Northeast, you are probably looking forward to it. The rest of us will be clearing snow.

We also have 3 NBA games and a look ahead to the return of the NHL post-Olympics. Wow, what a gold medal game yesterday! The NHLers return on Wednesday if they can get back through the snow.

While today, like all Monday’s are FREE, make sure to upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks in the fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course. All the picks you see above were in that premium part.

Also make sure you listen to the weekly Betting with Bearman podcast. Last week, we had Betting with Bearman OG and Pro Football Network’s Kyle Soppe on to preview the NBA’s second half and the golf action.

I am also going to help you in your golf pools with One and Done picks AND access to some awesome golf tools that you can use to help with your pool. Head over to PoolGenius and get Discounts courtesy of Betting with Bearman. We have my former hometown event this week in the Honda Classic. I know it’s called Cognizant Classic now, but it’s Honda Classic to me.

We also have our affiliate deal with our new friends at Betr. Through our partnership, you can sign up now and get $10 free and then a 50% deposit match up to $200 by using the Betting with Bearman sign up link, right here. We are also going to be sending out Betr plays every newsletter and are 2-0 so far! We have a free play below.

Let’s get you some winning bets to cash.

On a slow night in the Association, we get a great one in Detroit with a pair of teams on the rise, squaring off in what sportsbooks are labeling as essentially a coin flip game. And should I dare use the overused “A possible Finals preview” line? Naw.

These are two of the hottest teams in the league and picking a winner is difficult. If you forced me to do so, I'd take the points with the Spurs, understanding that these are two of the top-5 rebounding teams in the league, but the Pistons remain without Isaiah Stewart (suspension from fight before All-Star Break). 

I may jump in on that market, but I've already grabbed Victor Wembanyama under 2.5 assists (+116 at FanDuel). The Frenchman has been doing it all in San Antonio's two games post All Star Break (45 points, 26 rebounds, 10 assists, and 9 blocks in 55 minutes), but the usage trends point in a very specific direction and I think they continue against the defense with the sixth lowest opponent assist-per-FGM rate.

They aren't running the offense through Wemby, they've made Wemby the offense with Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox handling essentially all of the creating. I think that's the right approach and given the success this team has had, why pivot?

The Pistons allow the fifth-fewest uncontested triple tries per game this season, so even if there are collapsing defensive principals on Wemby tonight, are we confident that his teammates step up in a major way from the perimeter?

One final thing to consider here is how leading scoring frontcourt players have fared against the Pistons recently:

- Kevin Durant: 19 shots, 3 assists
- Jaylen Brown: 28 shots, 2 assists
- Pascal Siakam: 12 shots, 2 assists
- Kawhi Leonard: 13 shots, 1 assist
- Kawhi Leonard: 26 shots, 2 assists

I picked the Spurs to win and that means I think Wemby is productive, but in this specific regard, I think he comes up short of the number and we are getting plus-money to go that direction.

Wembanyama u2.5 assists (+116)

Don’t go away! We have some more NBA plays, and some 2nd-half NHL futures to look at

I’ve done many crazy things in this field, but writing the Kings-Grizzlies preview for PrizePicks is right up there with toughest things to come up with. Both teams stink, both teams are “tanking”, and both teams have multiple players out for foreseeable future. But we dug into that game, so we have picks on it.

Ty Jerome over 25.5 Points+ Rebounds + Assists

Kings vs. Grizzlies (-4, 233.5)

It’s been some time since we’ve seen NHL games, but the Olympics are over and the players are coming home from Italy. I took a look at some futures coming out of the break and you won’t be stunned where I went with what I think is good value.

Florida Panthers to Make Postseason (+250 at DraftKings)

How Did We Do?

For the third straight weekend, we had a good golf week, cashing a bunch of props. And we tweeted out a fun, 10th-hole strategy on Saturday that was profitable.

Here is a quick recap of how this newsletter did on the weekend (Friday’s newsletter).

NBA

GOLF

College Hoops

BETR Plays

Filter Through the Noise

Everyone has their system or their way of attacking the lines. I am more of an aggregator of information, meaning I gather all the info I can in order to make the best decision. With that comes a lot of noise to filter through, which is the first step in trying to decide what to use and what not to use.

There is no perfect science, but historical betting stats that go too far back (different coaches/players) or small sample sizes are usually just noise. Settle on relevant stats or trends that help you and trusted sources that make you smarter. That will help you in the long run.

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