Happy Wednesday everyone! We are a few days away from the Final Four in Indy and entering the final 2 weeks of the NBA and NHL regular seasons. We have plenty of content for you today, including a full Valero Texas Open card, one week ahead of the Masters.

Make sure you listen to the weekly Betting with Bearman podcast. This week, we will have Sportsline HQ’s Eric Cohen on to break down the Final Four and Valero Open. That will drop this afternoon.

Speaking of Sportsline, some news to report. I will be joining the expert ranks over there as a talent, starting today! You’ll see me on the Early Edge tomorrow morning with some picks, as well as contributing to their site and Discord every day, with the link right here. Make sure to sign up and check that out for even more daily betting content, and a great Discord to be in.

While we give out one of our golf plays for free tonight in the newsletter, our NBA props/sides, Valero golf card and NHL plays are all worth an upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks this fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.

You know that I only recommend tools I actually use, and PoolGenius is what I’ll be using this year when I build out my March Madness brackets and play in a few NCAA Survivor pools.

They’re offering discounts for the Betting with Bearman family if you want to check it out.

One thing a lot of people miss with bracket pools is that winning isn’t really about predicting every game correctly — it’s about understanding what everyone else in your pool is picking and finding the right spots to differentiate. PoolGenius shows public pick rates alongside win probabilities and then generates optimized brackets based on your pool settings, which makes the process a lot more strategic.

They also have an NCAA Survivor tool, which is pretty unique. If you’ve played NFL Survivor, think of NCAA Survivor as packing an entire NFL Survivor season into about three weeks — with even more strategy because of how the tournament works. Their tool grades every possible pick based on win odds, popularity, and how saving teams for later rounds impacts your chances to survive the pool.

If you want to get a feel for the strategy side of survivor pools, their NCAA Survivor Strategy Guide is a good place to start:

They also have an article covering where to play NCAA Survivor Pools if you’re looking for one.

I’ll be using it when I put my brackets together next week, and if you’re looking for an edge in your bracket or survivor pool this year, it’s definitely worth checking out. 

We are excited about our affiliate deal with our new friends at Betr. Through our partnership, you can sign up now and get $10 free and then a 50% deposit match up to $200 by using the Betting with Bearman sign up link, right here. We are also going to be sending out Betr plays every newsletter!

Masters Tune Up in San Antonio

Hideki Matsuyama  to win (+2200), Top 10 finish (+205)

  • A Tee-to-green specialist who thrives on courses where you need to be good from top to bottom.

  • T-15, T-7 in 2023 and 2024, before missing Cut last year, which may get us a discount.

  • Checks the boxes on what's needed at TPC San Antonio, as he's 19th on APP, and has one of the best, if not the best, short games on Tour, ranking 1st in scrambling, 5th in SG: around the green, and 2nd in bogey avoidance.

  • He's never lost shots on Approach at this course, and the only negative stats-wise is off the tee, which you can get away with here. Just don't put it in the water in the playoff like you did in Phoenix.

  • Recent form: cooled off recently after a T-13, T-11, 2nd, T-8 start, but still cashing tickets.

Stick around for more NBA plays, a full Texas Open card, Final Four content and betting data, and more!

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