World Series Pivotal Game 5; Ravens-Dolphins Kickoff Week 9's NFL Action

Happy Wednesday everyone! We have a packed schedule today with 10 NBA games and traveling to Thursday night football tomorrow.

Make sure you tune into the new Countdown Live show on FanDuel Sports Net, where I am known to make an appearance every once in a while with more picks.

We also like to get ahead on Betting with Bearman, so we have our Thursday Night Football card, featuring a pick off Ravens-Dolphins, as well as our Same Game Parlay, props and plays for the book promos that are offered.

We also take a look at our Futures portfolio and hit on MLB and NHL games.

Make sure you listen to the Betting with Bearman podcast this week as we will have the NFL, NBA, and CFB covered from head to toe with a special guest, Mark Zinno from ESPN Radio and SportsGrid.

And upgrade at the current $99/year plan as you don’t want to miss weekly NFL and CFB week picks this fall. One $99 price (or $9.99/month) will get you every single newsletter unlocked, all our trends and picks and access to me of course.

Let’s get to it!

I will be in attendance on Thursday night in Miami, just like I was three weeks ago with the Giants, as 7.5 point dogs, upset the Eagles. Does that mean it happens again? Probably not, since I am not bringing my son, who is 4-0 in Dolphins games.

I do think the Dolphins can keep this close with the changes they made on offense last week vs. the Falcons. But the Falcons were ill prepared, and you know John Harbaugh will have his Ravens prepared.

Lamar is back, which will certainly help. The Ravens are averaging 32.8 points per game in the four games Jackson started, vs. 14.3 in the games he is out. Not rocket science here.

I lean towards taking the Dolphins plus the 7.5 at home. but like we like to do in primetime games, let’s go to the prop market!

Betting on anything with the Dolphins offense is always risky with other teams making adjustments to Mike McDaniel’s play calls. However, one thing has been consistent lately and that’s Tua looking for Waddle or Achane to throw to.

Since the injury to Tyreek Hill in Week 4, and taking Week 7 game vs. Cleveland out since it was a disaster all the way around, Achane and Waddle have combined for 32 of Tua’s 68 completions (47 pct). Last week, in the first game without both Hill and Waller, Achane and Waddle combined for 10 catches on 13 targets.

Achane’s receptions was considered in this spot, but the number is 5.5, so he would need 6. The Ravens gave up 5+ catches to RBs in each of the first three games, but have tightened down since. Achane will probably still get 4-6 catches, but the line is too high.

When looking at Waddle, I’d rather go over his yards prop than hope for the right about of catches. He showed his explosiveness last week in taking one to the house. Waddle has reached 90+ receiving yards in three of the four games Hill has missed, with the lone exception being that Cleveland game, where nothing worked for Miami.

Against a soft Ravens defense that is allowing 250.7 passing yards per game (28th in NFL), I expect Waddle to get over 63.5. Oduzne had 114 yards last week for the Bears in this spot.
Waddle over 63.5 receiving yards

Stick around for our TNF SGP and NBA picks below